Oddsmakers opened the Stars slight -130 favorites over the Predators for the 12th NHL Winter Classic on New Year’s Day. A neutral-ice victory would reward Dallas with its longest winning streak ever over Nashville.
Stars (-130) vs. Predators
Site: Cotton Bowl Stadium, Dallas, TX
Puck drop: 1:30 p.m. ET / 12:30 p.m. CT (NBC)
Total: 5.5 (105/-125)
2020 Stanley Cup odds update: Coyotes, Stars climbing
Stars shine bright against reeling defenses
The Predators (18-14-6) enter off consecutive losses, allowing 5 and 6 goals in a pair of back-to-back defeats to the Penguins. The results mark the fourth time this season when Nashville has allowed a total of 11 goals or more in two straight games.
The Stars (22-14-4) take advantage against similar out-of-form defenses. They have cashed 12 of 16 betting slips when facing a team that allowed four to light up the lamp in its previous effort.
Preds prey on betting favorites
No team in the NHL has a better winning percentage this season than the Predators when taking the ice as betting underdogs, although the opportunity rarely occurs. They are 6-2 (75%) behind a 120.9 average line, rewarding backers with a 67.5% ROI. Nashville, with preseason odds of 17/1 to win the Stanley Cup, is tied for fifth in the league for the fewest games going off as underdogs. The Lightning top all teams with only three outings.
Dallas defense generates UNDERs when chalk
The Stars allow 2.48 goals per game, second in the NHL behind the Bruins (2.42). When going off as betting favorites, the total dips slightly to 2.3 for Dallas. The UNDER is a lucrative wager behind such strong defensive efforts, going 17-6 (73.9%) when the Stars are betting favorites. They are outscoring opponents by a 2.5 to 2.3 average score as chalk.
Reversion is likely imminent, however. Since Jim Montgomery was abruptly fired and the front office installed Rick Bowness as interim head coach, opponents are not only outshooting Dallas at even strength in far greater numbers, but the team also yielded more shots on goal than opponents in seven of the nine games in his brief tenure.
Nashville makes low-scoring offenses good
The Predators have taken the ice 12 times against teams scoring fewer than 2.75 goals per game this season. The OVER is 10-2, a 7.6 average combined final score flying past a 5.8 total. Opponents put the puck between the pipes 3.6 times per game, eight of 12 besting their season goals-for average.
Winter Classic betting trends
The designated visitor is 8-4 overall.
The UNDER is 6-2-3 in 11 prior games, the losing team scoring more than a pair of goals once.
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