AFC Championship opening lines: Early movement toward underdog Titans against Chiefs

Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill and RB Derrick Henry vs. Oakland Raiders, December 2019
Titans QB Ryan Tannehill and RB Derrick Henry (AP Photo/Ben Margot)
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The Chiefs opened as 9.5-point favorites over the Titans in early AFC Championship game betting at Westgate SuperBook, but that line quickly moved to 7.5 on Sunday night. Kansas City and Tennessee will meet at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium.

Both of these teams are coming off of triumphant victories in the divisional round, albeit in entirely different fashion. The Chiefs (-10) fell behind 24-0 in the first half before storming back to beat and cover against the Texans, 51-31. The Titans, meanwhile, notched a decisive 28-12 win over the Ravens on Saturday night in a game where Tennessee closed as a 10-point underdog.

The point total opened at 50.5 but has since ticked upward to 52. The Texans and Chiefs hit the OVER (50.5) in the first half on Sunday afternoon – it was the first playoff game this year where OVER bets cashed.  The Chiefs also became the first team in NFL history (regular season or postseason) to lead at halftime after trailing by 24 or more points.

MORE: Texans collapse vs. Chiefs | NFC Championship opening lines

Kansas City and Tennessee are both rolling coming into this game. The Titans shocked the Ravens on Saturday and are in a similar betting spot against the Chiefs. They are 9-3 against-the-spread in their last 12 games and are 7-3 ATS on the road this year. Tennessee has been spotted at least four points four times this season and is 4-0 straight up and ATS with such qualifiers. Its point differential? Plus-56. They’ve thrived in this spot all season.

One of those wins came against the Chiefs, a 35-32 upset on Nov. 10 in a game where the Titans closed as 5.5-point underdogs. But Kansas City has been destroying teams lately. The Chiefs are 7-0 SU and ATS in their last seven outings – Patrick Mahomes just torched the Texans defense to the tune of 321 yards and five touchdowns.

Mahomes and Derrick Henry are two of the most electric offensive players in the NFL right now, and the Chiefs’ run defense is going to be dissected all week leading into the AFC title game. Henry has run for at least 182 yards in his last three outings and Kansas City allowed 128.2 rushing yards per game in the regular season, which ranked 26th. The Texans ran for 4.5 yards per carry against the Chiefs on Sunday.

It will be fascinating to see how much more line movement there is in the coming week. We’ll have all of your updates at

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