The Dolphins, one of the hottest bets in the NFL (seriously), are catching double-digits in Week 10 against a Colts team that tends to under-perform against poor opponents and is likely putting its third-string quarterback under center Sunday. All that must be piquing the interest of underdog bettors.
Miami is undervalued by the betting market, as Brian Flores’ squad has covered the spread in four straight games. Last week, the Dolphins were 3.5-point dogs at home to the Jets in a 26-18 outright win, their first ‘W’ of the season.
“Miami’s at least showing some life,” oddsmaker Robert Walker said on the Week 10 edition of The Bet Pro Football Podcast presented by BetIndiana.
Last week’s win, though, has to be “put it in perspective,” Walker told host Matt Perrault. “They beat a team that was not only playing poorly but is in disarray.”
The Colts, meanwhile, have lost two straight ATS, to the Broncos and Steelers, after winning at Arrowhead Stadium and at home against the Texans in consecutive outings. This week, they’re laying 10.5 points at home to Miami.
“Indianapolis seems to play to their competition,” Walker continued. “If they play a good team, they seem to pick it up; if they play a bad team, they kind of let ‘em stay in the game. That’s a dangerous way to play.”
Four straight ATS wins notwithstanding, ‘bad team’ is obviously an accurate descriptor of the Dolphins.
While Jacoby Brissett has been practicing this week, there’s plenty of doubt that he’ll go on Sunday. Brian Hoyer gets the starting nod if he does not.
“If Brissett doesn’t play, I still think they’re gonna win this game. The question is can they win by 11 or more,” Walker said.
Matt and Robert break down all the key games on the NFL’s Week 10 card. Listen to the podcast here.