With Patrick Mahomes expected to miss about four games because of a dislocated kneecap suffered Thursday night in Denver, the Chiefs’ futures odds, as well as Mahomes’ odds to win the 2019 NFL MVP, are being adjusted at sportsbooks around the country.
Kansas City was moved from 8/1 to 10/1 on Caesars’ Super Bowl 54 oddsboard, and from 7/2 to 9/2 to come out of the AFC, director of trading Jeff Davis told BetIndiana News in a text message. At US Bookmaking’s shops in New Mexico, the Chiefs were lengthened from 6/1 to 10/1 to lift the Lombardi Trophy in February, per oddsmaker Robert Walker.
At the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, oddsmakers maintained the Chiefs at 10/1 for the Super Bowl and 4/1 in the AFC, but the status quo marks an effective adjustment.
“We had them 10/1 before the game. If they would have won with Mahomes healthy, they would have gone down to 6/1,” Westgate oddsmaker Ed Salmons told BetIndiana News’ Joe Rodgers during a Friday phone call. “So we left them at 10/1 as the adjustment.”
Divsional futures tightened at the Westgate, however. Despite their
30-6 win over the Broncos, the Chiefs’ odds to win the AFC West were lengthened from -300 to -250, while the Raiders were shortened from +450 to +325, and the Chargers from 12/1 to 8/1. With the home divisional loss, Denver went from 10/1 to a 20/1 outsider.
While Mahomes had already been surpassed by the Seahawks’ Russell Wilson as the favorite for MVP, numbers were adjusted at both Caesars and the Westgate based on Mahomes’ injury. At Caesars, Mahomes went from 5/2 to 5/1 to repeat as the winner of the award, while Wilson was shortened from 2/1 to 6/5, Davis said. At the Westgate, Wilson went from 2/1 to +175, while Mahomes was raised from 9/4 to 10/1, now third on the oddsboard behind Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey at 6/1.
The Chiefs’ run without Mahomes begins at home next week against the Packers. On advanced lines offered at the Westgate this week, K.C. was a -4 favorite. That number will obviously change when the Week 8 board re-opens Sunday.
“It will depend on what Green Bay looks like,” Salmons told Rodgers. “Green Bay has a ton of injuries. If they bring the team that is playing against Oakland (in Week 7), I would say pick ‘em, and if they bring all of their wide receivers back healthy, it will be close to a 3-point favorite.”