Colts make major move up oddsboard in Tom Brady sweepstakes; Raiders, Titans also lurk

Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, Colts defensive end Denico Autry (AP Photo/ Charles Krupa)
Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, Colts defensive end Denico Autry (AP Photo/ Charles Krupa)
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Buzz around Tom Brady’s future has picked up with reports that the Hall of Famer-to-be is approaching free agency with the mindset that he’s ready to leave New England and play for a different team in 2020. While the Patriots remain the betting favorites to retain their franchise QB, the odds have shifted significantly over the past few weeks.

When we wrote about Brady’s futures market on Feb. 10, the Pats were large -333 favorites (bet $333 to win $100) at FoxBet to bring him back. They’re still the odds-on choice, offered at -162, but the price change suggests the betting market believes there’s a real possibility Brady goes elsewhere. According to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, though, Brady “is in the Patriots’ plans for 2020.”

The Raiders, Titans and Colts – the teams that follow the Patriots on the Brady futures board – have all see their prices to land the 42-year-old tighten. The Raiders and Colts, along with the Chargers and Dolphins, are among the teams in talks with agent Don Yee about “potentially” signing his star client, per Rapoport. That suggests Tennessee – which, for what it’s worth, Kurt Warner sees as Brady’s best fit – is overpriced at 4/1 odds.

While Indianapolis’ odds to acquire Brady have shortened from 16/1 to 6/1, The Athletic’s Stephen Holder reports a league source “strongly denied the Colts have engaged in any discussions with Brady’s camp. The source said such a story was ‘made up.’ Does that mean the Colts would be disinterested if Brady does, in fact, hit the open market? That’s a very different question, one with an unclear answer.”

Philip Rivers appears to be the more likely solution at quarterback for the Colts, who are the even-money favorite at FoxBet to sign the former Chargers signal-caller.

The Buccaneers are also a factor in the Brady sweepstakes, as head coach Bruce Arians said he’ll reach out to Brady if the QB’s 2020 home is undecided when free agency negotiations begin March 16, the Tampa Bay Times reported. The Bucs’ odds for Brady have shortened from 18/1 to 10/1.

Here are the odds for each of the NFL’s 32 teams to have Brady as their starter for Week 1 of the 2020 season.

<tr class=”tableizer-fir

Team Feb. 28 Feb. 10
Patriots -162 -333
Raiders +225 +425
Titans +400 +1200
Colts +600 +1600
Chargers +700 +600
Buccaneers +1000 +1800
Dolphins +2000 +2500
Bears +3000 +4500
Lions +3300 +6600
Giants +3500 +6000
Panthers +4000 +3300
Cowboys +4500 +2200
Broncos +5000 +5000
Vikings +6600 +6600
Jaguars +6600 +6600
Steelers +6600 +6600
Saints +6600 +6600
Browns +7000 +7000
Falcons +8000 +8000
Redskins +8000 +8000
49ers +8000 +8000
Eagles +8000 +8000
Rams +8500 +8500
Jets +8500 +8500
Bills +10000 +10000
Bengals +12500 +12500
Packers +15000 +15000
Cardinals +27500 +27500
Texans +30000 +30000
Ravens +30000 +30000
Seahawks +40000 +40000
Chiefs +40000 +40000

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