Post-draft glance at betting odds indicate expectations high for Burrow, tempered for Tua

Joe Burrow and parents, 2020 NFL Draft (NFL via AP)
Joe Burrow and parents, 2020 NFL Draft (NFL via AP)
Share on facebook
Share on google
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

Joe Burrow is the clear favorite to earn offensive rookie of the year honors this season. Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert are underdogs to start for their respective teams in Week 1. Those are just a few of the takeaways from a glance around the betting market a few days after the 2020 NFL Draft.

Burrow is the +250 chalk (bet $100 to win $250) on the offensive rookie of the year oddsboard at FanDuel, a less-than-enticing price given the situation quarterbacking the Bengals presents. Tagovailoa is the only other QB listed with single digit odds (8/1), and while the top of the draft was devoid of running backs, oddsmakers are dealing three players from that position at less than 10/1 – the Chiefs’ Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Lions’ D’Andre Swift and Colts’ Jonathan Taylor. The solid wide receiver class is also well represented.

Odds to win 2020 NFL offensive rookie of year

Joe Burrow +250
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +800
Tua Tagovailoa +800
D’Andre Swift +900
Jonathan Taylor +950
Jerry Jeudy +1300
CeeDee Lamb +1500
JK Dobbins +1600
Henry Ruggs +1800
Cam Akers +2000
Justin Herbert +2000
Zack Moss +2000
Players listed at FanDuel at 20/1 odds or shorter

Chase Young, who the Redskins took with the No. 2 overall pick, is the +350 favorite for defensive ROY, followed by the Cardinals’ Isaiah Simmons (+850). Lions cornerback Jeff Okudah, the No. 3 overall pick, is the co-fifth betting choice at 21/1 odds.

Odds to be Week 1 starter

While Tagovailoa and Herbert were selected by the Dolphins and Chargers with the Nos. 5 and 6 picks, respectively, neither is expected to get the starting nod when the season begins.

These odds from DraftKings and FanDuel provide examples of why it’s important for bettors to shop for the best prices.

Odds to be Dolphins’ Week 1 starter

Ryan Fitzpatrick -200-270
Tua Tagovailoa +160+200
Josh Rosen+2000+2500

Odds to be Chargers’ Week 1 starter

Tyrod Taylor-305-370
Justin Herbert +250+260
Cam Newton+2000NL
Easton Stick +5000+3200

While Newton is offered in DraftKings’ Chargers market, the Patriots are the -190 favorite at FanDuel to have the former Panthers QB on their roster at the start of the season; the Chargers are not listed among the betting options in FanDuel’s Newton market.

Joe Burrow props

With Burrow figuring immediately into the Bengals’ plans, oddsmakers have posted props on the No. 1 overall pick’s 2020 production.

His passing yards total is 3,850.5 at DraftKings and 3,799.5 at FoxBet, offering a skinny arbitrage opportunity. His passing TD total is 21.5 at DraftKings, while FoxBet has a one-way prop (which typically don’t carry much value), offering 3/1 odds on Burrow tossing at least 25 touchdowns.

Quarantine Q&As: Captain Jack | Jay Kornegay | David Purdum