College Football National Championship betting history: Underdogs trending as Clemson eyes another upset

Clemson coach Dabo Swinney AP PHOTO/DAVID J. PHILLIP
Clemson coach Dabo Swinney AP PHOTO/DAVID J. PHILLIP
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Thanks largely to Clemson, underdogs have covered the spread in six straight College Football National Championship games. Does the betting trend continue on Monday or does LSU cash tickets as 6-point home favorites?

Of those six underdogs to cash spread tickets in the National Championship, Clemson has been the team catching points in three, including two outright wins over Alabama at spreads similar to Monday’s game. Despite the trend, over 70% of tickets and money as of Friday’s writing are backing LSU’s dominant team.

Trends tend to be streaky, however. Favorites covered six straight title games before the dogs’ current run.

MORE: Clemson vs. LSU betting trends, picks | Props

Since the 2000 season, underdogs are 12-7 ATS in the national title game with the OVER going 11-8.

When including the national semifinals, underdogs hold a slight 9-8 ATS advantage since the start of the College Football Playoff in the 2014-15 season, with the OVER also going 9-8.

Monday’s total doesn’t rival the Peach Bowl’s 75.0 (OVER cashed with LSU’s 63-28 win vs. Oklahoma), but at 69.5, it’s the second-highest number for a title game in the BCS/playoff era. At 72.5, Ohio State vs. Oregon in the 2014 season closed higher, and UNDER cashed in the Buckeyes’ 42-20 win.

Here’s a rundown of how favorites like LSU have fared in the national championship since the 2000 season.

Past national championship betting results

SeasonScoreLineFav ATSFav SU
2018Clemson 44, Alabama 16Bama -6LL
2017Alabama 26, Georgia 23Bama -3.5LW
2016Clemson 35, Alabama 31Bama -6.5LL
2015Alabama 45, Clemson 40Bama -6LW
2014Ohio State 42, Oregon 20Oregon -5.5LL
2013Florida State 34, Auburn 31FSU -12LW
2012Alabama 42, Notre Dame 14Bama -10WW
2011Alabama 21, LSU 0Bama -2.5WW
2010Auburn 22, Oregon 19Auburn -1WW
2009Alabama 37, Texas 21Bama -3.5WW
2008Florida 24, Oklahoma 14Florida -4WW
2007LSU 38, Ohio State 24LSU -3.5WW
2006Florida 41, Ohio State 14OSU -7LL
2005Texas 41, USC 38USC -7LL
2004USC 55, Oklahoma 19USC -1WW
2003LSU 21, Oklahoma 14Oklahoma -7LL
2002Ohio State 31, Miami 24Miami -11LL
2001Miami 37, Nebraska 14Miami -8.5WW
2000Oklahoma 13, Florida State 2FSU -10LL

This story was compiled with the help of queries performed at SportsDatabase

Also read: 2020 Heisman odds