NFL Week 10 sportsbook report: Professional bettors targeting Browns, three other teams

Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook war room
Cameron Coombs inside the Westgate SuperBook war room (Joe Rodgers)
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Inside the Westgate SuperBook war room on Monday, it took oddsmakers Ed Salmons and Cameron Coombs just seconds to approve a request from a respected bettor seeking a double-limit bet on the Browns -2.5 for Sunday’s game against the Bills.

“Who wants it?,” Salmons asked Coombs, who was busy preparing the sportsbook’s in-game wagering menu for Monday’s Cowboys-Giants game. “Oh yeah, let’s give it to him, that guy is such an awesome player.”

Salmons was quick to inform Westgate executive vice president Jay Kornegay of the wager when Kornegay walked into the war room and then pointed to a tweet from Jimmy Vaccaro at the South Point of a similar five-figure bet on the Browns.

“I bet you it’s the same guy,” Salmons said. “Such a good player, we need guys like him to shape the line.”

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The Browns are just 2-6 straight up and against the spread, but the Westgate oddsmakers were in agreement that Cleveland -2.5 is the correct side and even offered the SuperContest line of -3 as a suggested play to VSiN’s “My Guys in the Desert” show Wednesday afternoon.

Elsewhere in Las Vegas, CG Technology also took “a couple of bets from respected players on the Browns -2.5,” risk analyst Will Bernanke told BetChicago in an email.

Bets on Browns coach Freddie Kitchens have been losers this season, but simple handoffs to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt could help cash tickets Sunday. According to Sharp Football Analysis, the Bills have given up the fourth-most explosive run plays in NFL. Chubb is tied for third-most explosive runs at 20. With wind expected off Lake Erie, the run game could be a catalyst for both teams.

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At FanDuel, 81% of tickets and 63% of money is on the Bills, as the public continues to lose interest in the Browns despite them often boasting superior player talent over their opponents.

Bills-Browns doesn’t qualify as a Pros vs. Joes game, per Bernanke, but there are three other games that fit the mold on Sunday.

Professional money, including one five-figure bet, showed at CG on Buccaneers -4, helping the line move to -5 by Thursday. The Panthers (now +5.5 vs. Packers) and Steelers (+3.5 vs. Rams) have also been the targets of sharp bettors at CG with the majority of the public on the favorites.

Public bettors are also on the road favorites Ravens and Chiefs. At William Hill, 78% of tickets and 73% of money is backing Baltimore -10 over the Bengals, while FanDuel is seeing 84% of tickets on the trendy Ravens following a primetime upset of the Super Bowl favorite Patriots. Kansas City is seeing a whopping 95% of bets and 97% money at FanDuel as a now 5.5-point road favorite over the Titans with Patrick Mahomes (knee) back under center.

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