The Packers host the Seahawks in Sunday’s late NFL playoff game as 4.5-point favorites at Lambeau Field, with a total of 46.5. If you’re looking for action on the game beyond the traditional wagers, there are some intriguing prop bets on the oddsboard.
Here are three of our favorites from Westgate.
Packers vs. Seahawks props
Russell Wilson OVER 27.5 rushing yards
Wilson has excellent mobility and seems more apt to run the ball when the stakes are high. He ran for 45 yards on nine carries in the Seahawks’ win in Philadelphia last week and for 29 yards on eight carries against the 49ers in Week 17. He averages 29.5 rushing yards per playoff game in his career.
But the biggest reason we like the OVER here: the Seattle backfield is in shambles. Travis Homer and Marshawn Lynch combined to carry the ball 17 times for 19 yards against Philadelphia. Wilson was easily the team’s most effective rusher in the wild-card upset.
You’d have to think Homer and Lynch won’t be that bad against the Packers, but the Seahawks love to run the ball and should get creative in doing so. They’ll likely need Wilson to make an impact on the ground to account for their backfield situation.
Aaron Rodgers UNDER 247.5 passing yards
Rodgers threw for 323 yards against the Lions in Week 17, but before that, he hadn’t gone OVER 247.5 since Oct. 27 against the Chiefs. And it took him 55 attempts to get those 323 yards against Detroit – it’s hard to envision the Packers airing it out that much against the Seahawks.
And while Seattle hasn’t defended the pass well on the whole this season (26th in the NFL in yards allowed), its secondary has improved as the year has progressed. The Seahawks are allowing only 197 passing yards per game over their last three. Sure, one of those outings came against Josh McCown, but the other two quarterbacks were Jimmy Garoppolo and Kyler Murray – both have been solid from a statistical standpoint this season.
This is a different Packers offense than we’ve seen in recent years – the running backs have been the focal point. Rodgers has failed to crack seven yards per attempt in any of his past three starts, and 247.5 is a lofty total given the circumstances.
Davante Adams NO to score a touchdown (-125)
While Seattle has allowed a good amount of passing yardage this season, it’s been successful in preventing passing touchdowns. The Seahawks allow 1.1 passing scores per game, which ranks fifth in the NFL. And they’ve allowed just one touchdown through the air in the last three games, so Adams has his work cut out for him.
Of course, Adams is Rodgers’ clear No. 1 option, and he’s been awesome – the star wideout has racked up double-digit targets in eight of his last nine games. But while Adams has scored a touchdown in four of his last six outings, those are the only games in which he’s found pay dirt all season, meaning he’s 4-8 against this bet.
Given the Seahawks’ ability to keep opposing receivers out of the end zone and Adams’ body of work, ‘NO’ is the play at a reasonable price.
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