The Houston Texans are 3-point home underdogs against the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football. This game features two big-name quarterbacks and a good amount of skill position talent, so if you’re looking to place some prop bets, this is a time to do it.
Here are three of our favorites on the board from the Westgate SuperBook.
Patriots vs. Texans player props
Tom Brady UNDER 1.5 touchdown passes (+110)
The numbers aren’t pretty for Brady over the last several weeks. He’s thrown multiple touchdown passes in two of his last eight games, one of which came against the woeful Redskins. Brady hasn’t cracked 5.2 yards per pass attempt in his last two games, a mark that would rank last among qualified quarterbacks for the whole season.
The Texans’ pass defense ranks 25th in air yards allowed, which is likely why the OVER is -130 here. And Brady could obviously hit it; Houston has really struggled against opposing quarterbacks ever since J.J. Watt went down. But New England has been playing conservatively over the last month and a half or so, and when Brady has gotten chances, he hasn’t done much with them. Fade the aging QB here.
Deshaun Watson UNDER 245.5 passing yards (-110)
The New England secondary has been outrageously good this season. The Patriots are allowing 158 passing yards per game, second in the NFL to the 49ers. And while the schedule was soft early on, New England has proven it can stifle good passing games, too.
Take Dak Prescott, for example. He had topped 245.5 passing yards in all but two starts going into New England but finished with a season-low 212 passing yards against the Patriots. Ben Roethlisberger is the only opposing quarterback to go OVER 215 passing yards against New England. That was in Week 1.
Watson is phenomenal, but he’s gone UNDER this mark in two of his last three starts, so it’s not as if he’s been a yardage machine lately. Trust the Patriots defense here.
Julian Edelman OVER 74.5 receiving yards
Edelman has remained effective despite Brady’s struggles – mostly because the Patriots are lacking in weapons on the outside. He’s been a target monster, racking up double-digit looks in his last six games.
The Patriots slot receiver has gone OVER this mark in five of his last seven games, and as mentioned earlier, it’s not as if the Texans are great against the pass.
Edelman has been New England’s best and most consistent offensive player in 2019. We see no reason why he should slow down against Houston on Sunday night.
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