PGA Tour betting odds, key stats: 3-course American Express pro-am adds extra layers to handicap

Rickie Fowler (AP Photo/Matt York)
Rickie Fowler (AP Photo/Matt York)
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The PGA Tour begins its West Coast Swing this week with a unique 3-course event called The American Express, formerly known as the Bob Hope Classic. With easy venues on tap, the Pro-Am format often results in low scores and gives hot-putting players value as longshots.

Phil Mickelson, who becomes only the third active PGA Tour player to host a Tour event, is offered at 50/1 odds at the Westgate SuperBook to win it, well behind tournament favorite Rickie Fowler.

Adam Long is the reigning winner, who entered the event last season with 500/1 odds. Other recent longshot winners include: Hudson Swafford (56/1, 2017), Jason Dufner (45/1, 2016), Patrick Reed (50/1, 2014) and Brian Gay (150/1, 2013).

The American Express is played at three courses in Southern California: La Quinta Country Club, PGA West TPC Stadium Course and Jack Nicklaus’ PGA West Tournament Course. Each golfer plays every course, meaning the cut (top-65 and ties) comes after 54 holes of play. The final round will be played at the TPC Stadium course, a classic Pete Dye design with plenty of bunkers and water to avoid. Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green is a stat to include in your handicapping, for the tournament overall and especially TPC Stadium.

All three courses are Par 72s with shorter par 5s and Bermuda greens. Final winning scores have been between -20 and -26 over the past five years, and the Westgate SuperBook installed a winning score prop of -25.5. The birdie-fest makes approach shots and bogey avoidance paramount.

Long’s win last season came out of nowhere, but he did continue the trend that has seen nine of the past 10 winners play in one of the two year-opening events in Hawaii. Eight of the past nine winners also had a top-15 finish in one of their past seven events.

Given last week’s wind and rain at Wai’alae Country Club, we’ll be looking more at Kapalua’s results for golfers to target. One such player is J.T. Poston (50/1), who missed the cut at Wai’alae, but was T11 at Kapalua and T7 at this event last season. Poston has been putting great this season, ranking inside the top-30 in several metrics, including Birdie or Better percentage, Strokes Gained: Putting and 3-putt avoidance. Poston was 10-under par on Par 5s at Kapalua and 11-under on Par 5s last season at this event. The easy courses will mitigate his driving deficiencies and help setup advantageous approach shots.

Poston is tied for the seventh-shortest odds this weekend. Here is a complete list of outright odds from the SuperBook.

The American Express outright odds

Rickie FOWLER 12/1
Sungjae IM 18/1
Paul CASEY 20/1
Tony FINAU 25/1
Kevin KISNER 30/1
Charles HOWELL III 30/1
Billy HORSCHEL 30/1
Byeong Hun AN 30/1
Scottie SCHEFFLER 30/1
Cameron CHAMP 40/1
Matthew WOLFF 40/1
Francesco MOLINARI 40/1
Jason KOKRAK 40/1
Abraham ANCER 40/1
Brendon TODD 50/1
J.T. POSTON 50/1
Alex NOREN 50/1
Ryan MOORE 50/1
Brian HARMAN 50/1
Russell KNOX 60/1
Vaughn TAYLOR 60/1
Zach JOHNSON 60/1
Kevin NA 60/1
Andrew PUTNAM 60/1
Harris ENGLISH 60/1
Lucas GLOVER 60/1
Chez REAVIE 60/1
Daniel BERGER 80/1
Sebastian MUNOZ 80/1
Aaron WISE 80/1
Scott PIERCY 80/1
Danny LEE 80/1
Denny McCARTHY 80/1
Brendan STEELE 80/1
Si Woo KIM 100/1
Carlos ORTIZ 100/1
Brian STUARD 100/1
Bud CAULEY 100/1
Austin COOK 100/1
Nick TAYLOR 100/1
Cameron TRINGALE 100/1
Nate LASHLEY 100/1
Adam LONG 100/1
Harold VARNER III 100/1
Nick WATNEY 100/1
Henrik NORLANDER 100/1
Talor GOOCH 100/1
Kyle STANLEY 125/1
Beau HOSSLER 125/1
Cameron DAVIS 125/1
Wyndham CLARK 125/1
Kevin STREELMAN 125/1
Hudson SWAFFORD 125/1
Charley HOFFMAN 150/1
Kevin CHAPPELL 150/1
Martin LAIRD 150/1
Bill HAAS 150/1
Russell HENLEY 150/1
Ryan ARMOUR 150/1
Jimmy WALKER 150/1
Bronson BURGOON 150/1
Brice GARNETT 150/1
Sam RYDER 150/1
Bo HOAG 150/1
D.J. TRAHAN 150/1
Scott STALLINGS 150/1
Brian GAY 150/1
Aaron BADDELEY 150/1
Troy MERRITT 150/1
Tyler DUNCAN 150/1
Harry HIGGS 150/1
Kramer HICKOK 150/1
Jhonattan VEGAS 150/1
Steve STRICKER 150/1
Luke LIST 200/1
Max HOMA 200/1
Stewart CINK 200/1
Chesson HADLEY 200/1
Patton KIZZIRE 200/1
Dominic BOZZELLI 200/1
Seung-Yul NOH 200/1
Xinjun ZHANG 200/1
Richy WERENSKI 200/1
Patrick RODGERS 200/1
Jason DUFNER 200/1
Andrew LANDRY 200/1
Peter MALNATI 200/1
Kyoung-Hoon LEE 200/1
Zac BLAIR 200/1
Matthew NeSMITH 200/1
Tom HOGE 200/1
Michael THOMPSON 200/1
Doc REDMAN 200/1
Roger SLOAN 200/1
Sam BURNS 250/1
David HEARN 250/1
Matt EVERY 250/1
Sam SAUNDERS 250/1
Adam SCHENK 250/1
Fabian GOMEZ 250/1
Anirban LAHIRI 250/1
Scott HARRINGTON 250/1
Scott BROWN 250/1
Maverick McNEALY 250/1
Greg CHALMERS 250/1
Grayson MURRAY 250/1
Ben MARTIN 250/1
Josh TEATER 250/1
Ted POTTER JR 250/1
Robert STREB 250/1
Robby SHELTON 250/1
Chase SEIFFERT 250/1
Sepp STRAKA 250/1
J.J. SPAUN 300/1
Doug GHIM 300/1
Kristoffer VENTURA 300/1
Joseph BRAMLETT 300/1
Mackenzie HUGHES 300/1
Wes ROACH 300/1
Mark HUBBARD 300/1
Ricky BARNES 300/1
Brandon HAGY 300/1
Hank LEBIODA 300/1
Rhein GIBSON 300/1
Mark ANDERSON 300/1
Chris STROUD 300/1
Cameron PERCY 300/1
Ben CRANE 300/1
Sebastian CAPPELEN 300/1
James HAHN 300/1
John HUH 300/1
Rafael CAMPOS 500/1
Ryan BREHM 500/1
Tyler McCUMBER 500/1
John SENDEN 500/1
Ben TAYLOR 500/1
Chris BAKER 500/1
Hunter MAHAN 500/1
Michael GELLERMAN 500/1
Michael GLIGIC 500/1
Isaiah SALINDA 500/1
Akshay BHATIA 1000/1
Kevin STADLER 1000/1
Nelson LEDESMA 1000/1
Vince COVELLO 1000/1
Vincent WHALEY 1000/1
Bo VAN PELT 1000/1
Mark WILSON 1000/1
Martin TRAINER 1000/1
Brian SMOCK 1000/1
Charles REITER 1000/1

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