Saturday college basketball bad beats, upsets: Backdoor cover busts Illinois bettors, Baylor stuns Kansas

Giorgi Bezhanishvili, Illinois basketball, January 2020
Rutgers' Jacob Young (42) puts up a one-handed shot as Illinois' Giorgi Bezhanishvili (15) and Trent Frazier (1) pressure him (AP Photo/Holly Hart)
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A huge college basketball slate on Saturday witnessed some intriguing betting results early in the afternoon, topped by a Big Ten backdoor cover in Illinois’ 54-51 victory over Rutgers.

Notre Dame also rallied late to burn bettors laying points with No. 13 Louisville in the latter’s 67-64 ACC victory.

The most notable upset of the day saw a rare take down of Kansas by Baylor at Allen Fieldhouse in a Big 12 battle between top-five teams.

Below is our betting recap of these matchups:

Rutgers last-second layup provides backdoor cover

Illinois 54, Rutgers 51

Line: Illini -5.5, 135

Betting recap: Illinois rallied from a three-point deficit at halftime to top Rutgers 54-51 as consensus 5.5-point chalk on Saturday, moving up to second place in the Big Ten standings. The victory makes it three in a row over conference foes, but a last-second layup spoiled bets laying the points.

Down 54-49 with 0:14 left in regulation, the Scarlet Knights needed at least two scores to keep the game alive, missing a pair of jumpers before Akwasi Yeboah turned an offensive board into a layup with 0:02 remaining. The putback buried bettors buying the Illini at -4.5 and -5 points, where the game traded at some shops.

Illinois is arguably lucky to even claim victory, nonetheless fail to cover the spread. The team shot just 28.6% from the floor, but was bailed out by scoring leader Ayo Dosunmu (15.3 ppg) once again, who posted the squads’ final eight points.

The late basket moves the Illini to 5-2-1 against the spread in its last eight games at State Farm Center.

Rutgers, meanwhile, has covered the spread in four straight catching points.

Bears maul Jayhawks in rare Allen Fieldhouse upset

No. 4 Baylor 67, No. 3 Kansas 55

Line: Jayhawks -7.5, 132.5

Betting recap: No. 4 Baylor notched its first true road victory over a top-five team in program history with a 67-55 shocker at No. 3 Kansas. The Bears tipped off 7.5-point underdogs.

The win snapped a 28-game home win streak for the Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse. Since 2010, Kansas was 143-7 SU at home entering Saturday.

The victory adds to a string of good performances for Scott Drew’s program when catching points away from home facing Big 12 rivals, going 13-5-1 ATS since the start of the 2017-2018 campaign.

The Bears, which traded at 40/1 odds to win the NCAA Tournament prior to the season-opener, have one of the most impressive resumes in the country with wins over Villanova, Butler, Arizona, Texas Tech, Texas, and now Kansas.

Irish rally late to push spread

No. 13 Louisville 67, Notre Dame 64

Line: Cardinals -3, 136.5

Betting recap: The Irish erased a 12-point Louisville halftime lead in a tight 67-64 defeat to spoil bettors laying the 3 points for the Cardinals.

Some sharp action supported Notre Dame in the betting market. Only 28% of point spread tickets backed the Irish per SportsInsights, yet the line adjusted from a +3.5 opener to +3 by tip.

Notre Dame rallied to take a 62-60 lead with 3:03 remaining in the contest, but failed to score another point in defeat. The team shot just 39.4% from the floor.

Following the Cardinals’ loss, head coach Mike Brey is 1-18 SU and 4-14-1ATS against ranked opponents since the start of the 2017-18 campaign.

The 131 combined points also stayed UNDER a 136.5 total, extending the mark to 18-8 (69.2%) since 2010 when Notre Dame goes off a home underdog.

This story was compiled with the help of queries performed at SportsDatabase.

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