With oddsmakers expecting the Chiefs to enjoy a late lead in Sunday’s early NFL playoff matchup as 9.5-point home favorites against the Texans (3:05 p.m. ET/2:05 p.m. CT, CBS), we turn our attention to the player props market.
The total for the second AFC playoff clash of the weekend sits at 51, and the prospects of a high-scoring affair appears to be inflating numbers in derivative betting markets. But there are opportunities for bettors to take advantage of an expected game script that should see the Texans airing it out and the Chiefs trying to preserve a lead.
Here are three player props to consider for Sunday’s early game.
Texans at Chiefs player props
DeAndre Hopkins OVER 6.5 receptions
Fellow wide receiver Will Fuller is expected to suit up for Sunday’s game, which should help open the field for Hopkins and quarterback Deshaun Watson’s other downfield targets.
Hopkins had nine receptions on 12 targets in Houston’s 31-24 Week 6 win at Arrowhead Stadium, and with a pass-heavy game script in store, we like him to go OVER 6.5 total receptions here. The four-time Pro Bowler is essential to Houston’s passing attack and has a great chance to see double-digit targets in Kansas City on Sunday.
Travis Kelce UNDER 70.5 receiving yards
Kelce is dealing with knee issues, and while he is fully expected to play on Sunday, him being limited in practice is a cause for concern. The seven-year veteran had only four catches for 58 yards when the Texans visited Arrowhead earlier this season, and there may be less of a need for the Chiefs to air it out on big-yardage plays to the 6-foot-5 big man with a late lead. Also, with the knee ailment lingering, it won’t be surprising to see Kelce getting less separation from the opposing secondary than we are used to.
Bettors shouldn’t be in any rush to play this one, as there is a great chance that this number ticks up as more recreational money enters the marketplace.
Damien Williams OVER 11.5 rushing attempts
The sixth-year running back is well-rested coming off the bye week, and while coach Andy Reid prefers a committee approach at the position, Williams should see a healthy dose of carries as the lead man against a Texans team that has allowed an average of 30 rushing attempts to opposing offenses in their last three games.
Williams returned in Week 16 against the Bears after a rib injury suffered in Week 11 kept him out for over a month. He had 16 rushing attempts in a 26-3 win over Chicago and 12 in a 31-21 Week 17 win over the Chargers. Expect a continued uptick in attempts now that he is fully healthy, especially with a game script that should see the Chiefs running the ball with a lead.