Colts in the mix to land Tom Brady, betting odds suggest

Patriots QB Tom Brady
New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (AP Photo/Bill Sikes)
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Tom Brady’s NFL future is as uncertain as it’s ever been. While we know he plans to suit up in 2020 based on Hulu’s Super Bowl ad, the “where” part is yet to be determined.

The Patriots are the clear betting favorites to roster Brady for Week 1 of next season, according to odds from FoxBet, but five other teams are priced at 18/1 odds or shorter. Here’s the full list, with the Colts and Bears both appearing in the top 10.

TeamOdds
Patriots-333
Raiders+425
Chargers+600
Titans+1200
Colts+1600
Buccaneers+1800
Cowboys+2200
Dolphins+2500
Panthers+3300
Bears+4500
Broncos+5000
Giants+6000
Vikings+6600
Jaguars+6600
Steelers+6600
Lions+6600
Saints+6600
Browns+7000
Falcons+8000
Redskins+8000
49ers+8000
Eagles+8000
Rams+8500
Jets+8500
Bills+10000
Bengals+12500
Packers+15000
Cardinals+27500
Texans+30000
Ravens+30000
Seahawks+40000
Chiefs+40000

Brady, who will be 43 when next season begins, had one of the worst statistical seasons of his career in 2019. Throwing to a suspect receiving core, he averaged just 6.6 yards per pass attempt, his lowest mark since 2002, and his 52.5 QBR was the lowest of his career (the stat started being recorded in 2006). The Patriots still went 12-4 last season with Brady at the helm, and his touchdown-to-interception ratio remained solid at 24/8.

The Raiders have the shortest odds of any team besides the Patriots, and ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported in early February that Las Vegas is poised to pursue Brady should he decide become a free agent.

“One of the teams expected to be leading the way if Brady gets to free agency is the Raiders, whose coach, Jon Gruden, is a long-time admirer of the three-time MVP and six-time Super Bowl champion,” Schefter wrote. “The two have a good relationship, and league sources believe that Gruden, who is known to be a highly effective recruiter, wants Brady on the Raiders.”

The Chargers are next on the list, and while Fox’s Jay Glazer walked back a report saying that Los Angeles has “moved on” from Philip Rivers, his opinion is that Rivers’ Chargers career is over. Update: Shortly after this story was posted, the Chargers announced Rivers will enter free agency.

The trajectory of the Colts, a longtime nemesis of Brady’s Patriots, changed dramatically when Andrew Luck retired in August. Jacoby Brissett, who the Colts signed to a two-year, $30 million deal shortly after Luck retired with $20 million in guaranteed money, was up and down as a starter in 2019, and there is no commitment to him after 2020.

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The Bears also popped up on FoxBet’s odds list to round out the top 10, though they are a longshot at 45/1. Mitchell Trubisky had a disastrous third season as the Chicago starter, and conventional wisdom says the Bears should target a quarterback this offseason. But there’s been no reporting to suggest Brady to Chicago is a serious possibility.

NFL free agency officially begins on March 18, though a resolution about Brady’s future in New England is expected well before then, according to Schefter.

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