Line moving with Central Florida, against Washington in pair of Friday night tilts

Central Florida quarterback Dillon Gabriel 11-02-2019
Central Florida quarterback Dillon Gabriel (AP Photo/ Willie J. Allen Jr.)
Share on facebook
Share on google
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

The public is pounding Central Florida ATS over Tulsa, while Oregon State is seeing a bit of smart money at Washington in an AAC, Pac-12 college football double-header Friday night.

UCF (-17, 70) at Tulsa

Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. CT (ESPN2)

Line movement: The spread has moved from -13 to -17 in favor of UCF since oddsmakers listed opening lines on Sunday. Nearly 77% of the ticket count backs the Knights as of Wednesday afternoon according to Sports Insights.

The total adjustment is much less, the number dealing at 70 points from a 69.5 initial offer.

What bettors need to know: Central Florida (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) is 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 AAC road tilts as the betting favorite. This includes a 63-21 rout at Temple as 11.5-point chalk in its last away effort. The lone defeat in this span occurred at upstart Cincinnati in Week 6, losing 27-24 as a 3.5-point favorite. Although the Knights’ high-powered offense is rightly celebrated, it’s the defense making a difference in this spot, holding opponents to 18.2 points per game.

Tulsa (2-7 SU, 5-4 ATS) has claimed just three AAC wins in 21 games since the start of the 2017 season. The program has rewarded backers often when catching its fair share of points, however, going 7-3 ATS when gifted double digits on the oddsboard. The offense is surprisingly scoring 27.7 points per game under the latter market conditions.

The OVER has cashed in six of the last seven UCF contests, combining for a 70.8 average final score.

The OVER has hit in two-thirds (12-6) of all AAC games played on Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium hosting unranked rivals.

Week 11 NCAAF betting: Big Ten primer | Notre Dame vs. Duke

Washington (-10, 65) at Oregon State

Kickoff: 10:30 p.m. ET / 9:30 p.m. CT (FS1)

Line movement: Washington opened an 11-point favorite, the number slipping to -9.5 in early trading before stabilizing at the current figure (-10). Spread action is split nearly 50-50 as of publication.

The total, meanwhile, moved from 62.5 to 65 in a single adjustment on Monday.

What bettors need to know: This is not your typical Beavers-Huskies matchup. Oregon State (4-4 SU, 6-2 ATS) owns more wins (4) this season than the last two campaigns combined. Much of the newfound success is attributed to ball security. The Beavers have committed two turnovers all season, fewest in the nation.

Washington (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) is just 10-7 SU since Week 7 of the 2018 season. The once rock-solid Chris Petersen defense has allowed its last four opponents to surpass their projected team totals, surrendering 29.5 points per game. Opponents have gashed the Huskies for 1,680 yards in this stretch.

Petersen is 12-4 SU and 5-10-1 ATS hosting unranked Pac-12 rivals at Husky Stadium in his career, failing to top the number in his last six in this situation.

The Beavers have won three straight road conference games for the first time since 2013 and have covered the spread in five of their last six Pac-12 away tests.

Trends compiled with queries performed at SportsDatabase.

Bitnami