Week 13 NFL bad beats, betting upsets: Redskins, Dolphins win as double-digit dogs

Derrius Guice, Washington Redskins, December 2019
The Redskins and running back Derrius Guice (29) stuffed the Panthers as double-digit underdogs in Week 13 (AP Photo/Brian Blanco)
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The Redskins and Dolphins each notched straight-up victories as double digit underdogs in Week 13 of the 2019 NFL season.

The wins mark the second time in the current campaign two teams catching 10 points or more on the oddsboard have won outright in a week. Miami (+10.5) and the Falcons (+13) accomplished this feat in Week 10 with victories over the Colts (16-12) and Saints (26-9) respectively.

In the world of bad beats, OVER bettors in the much-anticipated 49ers-Ravens clash are a bit stunned after the two teams stumbled in the second half following an exciting 31-point first half.

Line shoppers, meanwhile, buying in at 48.5 points at select outlets for the Chiefs-Raiders clash had their total wager settled by a late defensive 2-point conversion in the final seconds.

Check out more on these betting results in our Week 13 NFL bad beats, upsets, and wild finishes recap below:

MNF betting: Vikings vs. Seahawks player props

Redskins run amok in rare upset

Redskins 29, Panthers 21

Line: Carolina -10.5, 39

The Redskins won their first game as double-digit underdogs since 2008 (Cowboys, Week 4) behind a dual power rushing attack spearheaded by future Hall of Fame back Adrian Petersen and second-year pro Derrius Guice.

The duo combined for three touchdowns and 228 yards on 23 carries in the 29-21 victory at Carolina as 10.5-point pups.

Overall, Washington accrued 245 yards on the ground, the second most ever against the Panthers in the Ron Rivera era. Carolina yielded 264 in a 37-19 defeat to the Steelers in 2014.

Dolphins double-digit delight

Dolphins 37, Eagles 21

Line: Philadelphia -10, 45

Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, battling a shoulder injury leading up to the game, recorded his third highest passer rating (113.8) of the season with a 3 TD, 365-yard performance on 27-of-39 completions in a 37-21 victory over the Eagles. Fitzpatrick and Co. needed a defensive interception on a dangerous Hail Mary attempt by Philadelphia QB Carson Wentz on the final play of the contest to secure the stunning victory:

Miami kicked off a 10-point underdog, its eighth time this year catching double digits on the oddsboard.

The longshot win marks the first time since 2017 an NFL franchise has won two games spotted double digits in a season. Both Miami and the Giants accomplished this feat in 2017. The 2007 Raiders, at least in the salary-cap era, are the only team to win three under these market conditions in a season.

Other underdogs to win in the early-slate of Week 13 games include the Bengals, picking up their first victory of the season with a 22-6 rout over the Jets as as 2.5-point pups. The line also moved against the Steelers in their 20-13 win over the Browns, kicking off a rare 1-point pup at Heinz Field.

Ravens, 49ers second-half stumble baffles bettors

Ravens 20, 49ers 17

Line: Baltimore -6, 45

A potential Super Bowl preview between the 49ers and Ravens witnessed a combined 31 points before halftime, providing OVER 45 bettors a clear path to the ticket counter to cash their wagers. Their trip was halted, as the scoreboard lit up for just a pair of field goals following the break. A pair of punts, a fumble, and two turnovers on downs by each team marred the contest late.

The OVER was 8-2 in San Fran’s last 10 road games against a winning team prior to today.

Defensive 2-point conversion settles score for line shoppers

Chiefs 40, Raiders 9

Line: Kansas City -11, 49.5

The consensus total never dipped below 49 points all week across the major U.S. sportsbooks, but a few line shoppers buying in at 48.5 at South Point, DraftKings, Treasure Island, and a handful of offshore outlets late in the week had their bets settled by a rare defensive PAT late in the contest.

K.C. owned a comfortable 38-3 win in the fourth quarter when Raiders QB Derek Carr led the offense on a 10-play, 75-yard touchdown drive for the team’s only end zone dance with 0:39 remaining. The ensuing extra-point kick was blocked and returned by the Chiefs’ Charvarius Ward for a defensive 2-point conversion to push the final combined tally to a 49, rather than 48 points.

Trends compiled with queries performed at SportsDatabase.

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