Week 13 Penn State-Ohio State odds dwarf advanced number

Justin Fields, Ohio State, November 2019
Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields (1) rushes the ball. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
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Oddsmakers opened No. 2 Ohio State a 17-point home favorite over No. 9 Penn State on Sunday for their Week 13 clash, a significantly larger spread than offered prior to the start of the 2019 campaign. Game of the Year lines back in May dangled -10.5 in favor of the Buckeyes.

The updated offering jumped to -19 within minutes of trading. The total moved from a 57.5 initial figure to 60 points in this same period.

Ohio State snapped an eight-game cover streak in a 56-21 win over Rutgers Saturday, kicking off a consensus 52-point favorite, a record Big Ten matchup point spread. Despite coming up short of the number, the program has largely taken care of business against elite teams in recent weeks.

In the last calendar year, the Buckeyes have faced five ranked opponents, winning each, and by an eye-opening 41.4 to 20.6 average score line. They are 4-1 ATS, covering a -10.5 average line by a 10.3 margin.

The Nittany Lions, meanwhile, are just 5-18 ATS in Big Ten road games against ranked rivals since joining the conference in 1993, including a 2-6 ATS mark under head coach James Franklin. Offense is tough to come by for Franklin and Co. in this spot, averaging just 18.5 points per game.

One of Franklin’s two covers occurred in Penn State’s last visit to The Shoe, the visitors just missing out on an upset, losing 39-38 as 6.5-point underdogs. A field goal or less, in fact, has determined the last three meetings in the now annual series.

Home chalk has won 20 straight games in ranked Big Ten matchups, going 12-7-1 ATS. When laying double digits, the spread record improves to 8-2 overall.

Below you will find all the Week 13 B1G opening lines provided at Circa Sports, as well odds for all FBS Indiana matchups

Indiana FBS programs

Boston College at No. 15 Notre Dame (-18, 63.5)

Early wagering moved the Holy War betting line from a -18 to -20.5 in favor of Notre Dame hosting Boston College.

The Irish have won six straight (2-4 ATS) in the series between the only two FBS Catholic universities. The UNDER has cashed in seven of the last eight meetings.

Two more regular-season victories, and the Irish will have pieced together consecutive 10-win seasons for the first time in 27 years. Despite the lopsided betting line, this matchup could be closer than expected if past results are to judge. Since 1983, the Irish are just 5-12 ATS laying more than a field goal on the oddsboard in the series.

No. 12 Michigan (-7, 51.5) at Indiana

Indiana has claimed victory once in the last 39 meetings against Michigan, but tends to exceed market expectations in the Jim Harbaugh era, going 3-1 ATS overall. The Hoosiers are covering a 17.9 average line by a 9.1 margin in the four matchups, twice taking the Wolverines to overtime. No result in this span has finished with a straight-up differential greater than 11 points.

Purdue at No. 14 Wisconsin (-21, 45.5)

Early wagering pushed the line from -21 to -24 in favor of the Badgers despite Purdue’s fabulous record catching points in recent years. The Boilermakers are 12-3 ATS under head coach Jeff Brohm all-time getting at least a field goal on the oddsboard, including a perfect 4-0 mark this season. Strong defensive efforts lead the way, holding teams under their projected total in all but three contests (26.3 opponent points per game).

Ball State (-2, 65) at Kent State

For the second time in the last three seasons, the Cardinals are road favorites in a college football game. They won and covered as 1-point chalk in a 29-23 final at Eastern Michigan in Week 7.

Big Ten matchups

No. 11 Minnesota (-7, 38) at Northwestern

One has to go back to 2003 to uncover the last time Minnesota lay points at Ryan Field, winning and covering the spread 42-17 as 11.5-point chalk. Oddsmakers pegged Northwestern a touchdown underdog for the upcoming clash.

The 38 total is the second lowest in a Big Ten clash all season. The UNDER has cashed in eight-straight meetings between the Gophers and Wildcats, the losing team never scoring more than 17 points in a contest.

Illinois at No. 19 Iowa (-12, 48)

The Illini, torched 63-0 by Iowa as 16-point pups in Champaign last season, have scored more than 20 points once in the last 11 meetings dating back to 2000.

Since 2012, The Hawkeyes have covered just one-third (7-14-1 ATS) of all spreads at Kinnick Stadium hosting unranked B1G rivals. They are 1-1 ATS this season, last failing to cover a -17.5 line in a 26-20 victory over Purdue in Week 8.

Michigan State (-23, 44.5) at Rutgers

This is just the third time in the last 11 meetings Michigan State will lay at least 20 points in the matchup.

Sparty is 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in its last six games, coming up short of a 3.8 average line by an eye-opening 14.6 margin.

Nebraska (-7.5, 66) at Maryland

The Cornhuskers are tied with Vanderbilt as the only two Power 5 teams covering one spread all season, each going 1-9 ATS entering Week 13.

Trends compiled with queries performed at SportsDatabase.

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