Boxing bettors are treated to a classic heavyweight matchup on Saturday, a rematch between Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury, an evenly-priced affair that presents plenty of opportunity to cash tickets at solid odds. Wilder has been bet from underdog to favorite, but with the line hovering close to a pick ‘em, gamblers can be enthusiastic to fire away on either side.
Fury opened the favorite in the -120 to -130 range for Saturday night’s title bout at Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, but early money on Wilder has pushed the line over the fence. A day before the fight, Wilder is the -130 chalk at the Westgate SuperBook and -125 at William Hill, where the WBC champ has drawn 67% of the bets and 74% of the money wagered.
The Westgate is dealing the total rounds prop at 10.5 (OVER -115, UNDER -105).
Wilder (42-0-1, 41 KOs) and Fury (29-0-1, 20 KOs) both bring undefeated records into the ring this weekend, the lone blemish on each of their ledgers being the draw the two battled to in Los Angeles in December 2018. Wilder, who was a larger favorite than he is this time, knocked Fury down twice in the first go-round, the Brit barely getting up when he hit the canvas in the 12th round, but Fury did enough to earn the draw.
Each fighter has notched two victories since that night. Fury TKO’d Tom Schwarz and scored a unanimous decision over Otto Wallin. Wilder knocked out both Luis Ortiz and Dominic Breazeale.
Fury said last month he plans to knock Wilder out, a prediction not many people are buying, but for the few who are, 5/1 odds are available on that outcome.
Wilder vs. Fury II, method of victory prop
Wilder by KO, TKO, DQ: +125
Wilder by decision: +1000
Fury by KO, TKO, DQ: +500
Fury by decision: +175
Only two of Wilder’s 43 fights have gone the distance, but we’re intrigued by the fat 10/1 odds on The Bronze Bomber winning by decision Saturday.
While Fury has proven he’s resilient enough to sustain Wilder’s biggest shots, he’s obviously susceptible to being knocked down. Should the rematch play out similarly to the first fight, Wilder figures to win a 10-8 round or two, and with the home crowd behind him, we like the decision going the American’s way should this thing go 12 rounds.
More speculative gamblers looking for a massive payday will take their swings on exact-round props (Wilder, for example, is 20/1 to win in round 10). We’ll make a two-unit play on Wilder -125 to win outright and a half-unit wager on him to win by decision for the chance at a ten-fold profit.
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